• The Coming Storm - What It Means

In 2008, I made a statement I was vilified for by Conservatives and Republicans. I stated that the idea of a Barack Obama presidency was horrible but not as horrible as the idea of a John McCain presidency. My reasoning was simple. With either man as President of the United States, the socialist ascendancy of Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid would continue to destroy the country- as it has since January of 2007. In an article quoted by All-American Blogger, I stated that a McCain Presidency would not move the Conservative message forward while an Obama Presidency would do just that.

Here I am today saying "see, I told ya so"

The victory of Democrats in 2006 and 2008 was manufactured by their own malevolence. It was Democrats and liberals who sabotaged the Iraq war, destroyed the economy and brought about the era of Wall Street bailouts and exploding deficits. The Democrats were masterful at creating these crises and shifting all the blame for them to George W Bush. George W. Bush and the Republicans had the deficit down to $165 Billion,unemployment down to 4.4%, gasoline down to $2.19 a gallon and the Dow up to 14,500. America looks wistfully at such numbers today.

In Bush's second term, his failure was not that he was too conservative, it was that he was not conservative enough. His undoing was not his unwillingness to reach across the aisle but his willingness to. Can anyone doubt that John McCain would have matched (or even accelerated) this acquiescence? John McCain was all about "compromise". McCain-Feingold, McCain-Liebermann, McCain- Kennedy. Ask yourself which party got the better of those deals?

McCain compromise with the Pelosi-Reid congress would have been- to paraphrase Ben Franklin- two wolves and a sheep decided what is for dinner. Even, on the rare occasions that McCain dared to stand up for Conservatism, could he have hoped to sway public opinion? Could he have hoped to get his agenda through such a rabidly corrupt and partisan Democratic congress? No. Americans had drunk the hope/change koolaid by the quart. large swaths of the country were ready to anoint Obama the new Messiah. Had McCain managed a miraculous upset victory, how could he have possibly escaped being the scapegoat for the soaring deficits and hemorrhaging jobs.

Conservatism was not on the ballot in 2008 but Conservatism would certainly have been the scapegoat. The only reason blaming our current ills on the Republican leadership have failed is because America could see-quite clearly- that no Republicans were in the leadership. Can't you see, It was necessary to give the Socialists total control in order that their masks be taken off and a stupid public be awakened to their true agenda

Sarah Palin put it best. "So, tell me America, how is that hopey, changey thing working out for you?"

America now knows what true Socialism now looks like. Now, we finally have our chance to get this right. 2010 has not been a two-way battle between Democratism and Republicanism. It is a 3 way battle between Democratism, Republicanism and Conservatism. Make no mistake, Conservatism is winning the day.

That is what this approaching storm is about and it is breathtaking to watch. Millions of Conservatives have risen up in one voice to purge the Liberals but outside and inside the Republican party. When John McCain said those now famous words that we don't have to be scared of an Obama presidency, Conservatives saw more evidence of a GOP out of touch and that before we can take our country back, we have to take our party back.

This storm represents a full-fledged revolt by Conservatives and the last chance for the GOP to right the ship. If the new Republican majority behaves anything like the last Republican majority, they will be kicked out just as quickly. The American people are demanding Conservative governance. This is not just another cyclical purge, this is something historic. This is going to be a genuine political realignment.

GOVERNORSHIPS

The long term effect of the coming storm will be felt right here. When all is over, the GOP will control between 30 and 35 of the Nation's 50 Governorships. It is here- not the Senate or House- that we will have our strongest firewall against Obama. It is here- not the Senate or the House- where the success of Conservative Governance will continue to be displayed. Finally, it is here- not the House or Senate- where the ground game will begin that will rout Obama and the Democrats in 2012, leading to a Republican Presidency and a filibuster-proof Senate majority.

In 2009, the GOP gained three Governorships- Jan Brewer in Arizona, Bob McDonnell in Virginia and Chris Christie in New Jersey. The courage and leadership they have shown has been amazing. In 2010, they are going to get a lot of help. In addition to holding Florida- the #1 Battleground State- Republicans are poised to pick up the states at #2, #3 and #4. With Republican Governors in Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan, Obama's reelection hopes would be bleak enough.However, when you also add Wisconsin, Iowa and New Mexico, the levers of realignment from the 2010 census tip remarkably in our favor.

Republicans won't stop there. Tennessee, Wyoming, Kansas, Illinois, Oregon and Maine will all replace Democrats with Republicans. New York, Maine and Massachucetts are not out of reach either. California could be an important hold because Meg Whitman would move the state well to the right of the Governator. Add to that Mitch Daniels, who is already doing a superb job in Indiana and the beginnings of a Conservative dynasty are easy to see. This could really be the beginning of the end for liberalism.

THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

Liberal predictions of a Democratic defense of the house are delusional. If you look at the current projections of safe seats on Real Clear Politics, they show a 17 point Republican advantage with 38 tossups. In a normal election year, the two parties would each be expected to win 19 and lose 19 of the tossups. This would put the new congress at a 226-209 Republican majority. That alone would be a loss of 48 seats for the Democrats.

This is no ordinary year. Republican primary participation is the highest in 40 years. The Republicans had more votes than Democrats for the first time in 80 years and the Democratic participation was the lowest ever. The Republican lead in the Generic ballot has been as high as 12 points - the highest ever- and the GOP enthusiasm gap is off the charts. It is highly unlikely that the Republicans will win only 19 of these 38 races. A safer bet is that they will win 28 or better. The conservative end of that scale puts Democratic losses at 60 seats or more. Even that doesn't tell the whole story. So deep is this wave that it is even reaching races that pollsters didn't even think about polling and- almost daily- the list of vulnerable democrats grows.

In January of this year, the Cook Political report listed 39 Democratic House seats as vulnerable. In May, the number had grown to 63. Today, it stands at 79. However, Dick Morris and others believe the true number is much higher. In fact, Morris has gone on record as saying that Democratic losses could break the record of 74 set in 1922, and could even reach 100 seats.

Whether we can reach 100 seats or not, I don't know. Yet, I think I can predict-with confidence- that Democrats will not only not defend the House but will not come within 20 seats of defending it. The Republican majority in January of 2011 will be larger than the one they had in January of 2005.

THE SENATE

Whether or not the GOP will have a Senate Majority in January of 2011, I cannot be certain. If not, they will be very close. Republicans will emerge with no fewer than 49 seats and no more than 55. The median result of 52 is entirely plausible. Republicans will defend all of their own seats- including Florida. In addition, they will pickup Pennsylvania, West Virginia, Arkansas, Indiana, Illinois, Wisconsin, North Dakota and Colorado, to go along with their Massachusetts pickup in January. Despite her struggles, I am confident that Sharron Angle will also knock off Harry Reid in Nevada.

If Angle does indeed win, it would be the 50th seat and we would need to knock off one more seat from among California, Connecticut, Washington, New York and Delaware. Stealing one of those races is plausible. Two? Unlikely.Three? That is just pressing our luck.

Sharron Angle must beat Harry Reid to keep us in the game. Plus, Reid has just got to go, anyway.

If Angle can get us to 50, Dino Rossi (Washington) followed by McMahon (Connecticut) and Fiorina (California) gives us best chance at 51. Whether or not the GOP reaches a senate majority this year, they are certain to have one in January of 2013, perhaps even a filibuster proof majority. 23 Democrats have to defend in 2012.

OF WILL AND MEANS

Once the GOP takes back the reins in Congress, Governorships and State Legislatures, the must resist the temptation to reach across the aisles. Republicans must have the strong will to bring back Conservative governance- to restore morality and fiscal sanity and to not just stop, but reverse, the relentless march of oppressive government. This could very well be the last chance we have to save this country - God willing.

--SonlitKnight